Abstract
Drama theory is an analytical framework that can be used by parties, either in negotiation or in confrontation with others, to inform their strategic decisions. Its conceptual foundation is game theory and so the elements of a situation upon which attention is focused are the parties that it involves, the strategic choices that they have available to them, and their evaluation of the stability and the outcomes of the resulting situations that they could coproduce. However, game theory is centrally preoccupied with the behavior of rational agents, and it has been shown that in many real-life games paradoxes undermine attempts to make objectively rational choices. This recognition led to the development of metagame analysis and its associated facilitated group process, the analysis of options. While the metagame approach overcame the paradoxes in games of coordination and in confrontations typified by “prisoner’s dilemma,” it failed to surmount the difficulties in the game “Chicken” where players are seeking to induce others to act in certain ways. In these circumstances, emotionally-fueled changes in individual preferences and perceptions drive the development of an interaction. These developments were codified in “soft game theory” which in turn provided a theoretical foundation for the more rounded schema of drama theory. The latter enables a mapping of the hopes and demands of those involved in an interaction and pays due attention to such practically important matters as the credibility of claims, threats, and promises and the emotional tone of an engagement.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Bain H, Howard N, Saaty T (1971) Using the analysis of options technique to analyse a community conflict. J Confl Resolut 15:133–144
Bennett PG (1980a) Hypergames: developing a model of conflict. Futures 12:489–507
Bennett PG (1980b) Bidders and dispenser: manipulative hypergames in a multinational context. Eur J Oper Res 4:293–306
Bennett PG (1996) Games and drama: rationality and emotion. Mershon Int Stud Rev 40:171–175
Bennett PG, Dando MR (1979) Complex strategic analysis: a hypergame study of the fall of France. J Oper Res Soc 30:23–32
Bennett P, Howard N (1996) Rationality, emotion and preference change: drama-theoretic models of choice. Eur J Oper Res 92:603–614
Bennett PG, Dando MR, Sharp RG (1980) Using hypergames to model difficult social issues: an approach to the case of soccer hooliganism. J Oper Res Soc 31:621–635
Bloom A (ed and trans) (1991) The republic of Plato, 2nd edn. Basic Books, New York, pp 36–39
Brams SJ (1994) The theory of moves. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
Frank RH (1988) Passions within reason: the strategic role of the emotions. Norton, New York
Fraser NM, Hipel KW (1980) Metagame analysis of the Poplar River conflict. J Oper Res Soc 31:377–385
Giesen MO, Bennett PG (1979) Aristotle’s fallacy: a hypergame in the oil shipping business …. Omega 7:309–320
Harsanyi JC (1974a) Review of paradoxes of rationality: theory of metagames and political behaviour by N. Howard. Am Polit Sci Rev 67:599–600
Harsanyi JC (1974b) Communication. Am Polit Sci Rev 68:730–731
Harsanyi JC (1974c) Communication. Am Polit Sci Rev 68:1694–1695
Howard N (1966a) The theory of metagames. Gen Syst XI:167–186
Howard N (1966b) The mathematics of metagames. Gen Syst XI:187–200
Howard N (1969) Metagame analysis of Vietnam policy. In: Isard W (ed) Vietnam: some basic issues and alternatives. Schenkman Publishing Company, Cambridge, MA, pp 126–142
Howard N (1971) Paradoxes of rationality: theory of metagames and political behaviour. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA
Howard N (1974a) Communication. Am Polit Sci Rev 68:729–730
Howard N (1974b) Communication. Am Polit Sci Rev 68:1692–1693
Howard N (1986) Usefulness of metagame analysis. J Oper Res Soc 37:430–432
Howard N (1989) The manager as politician and general: the metagame approach to analysing cooperation and conflict, and the CONAN play. In: Rosenhead J (ed) Rational analysis for a problematic world. Wiley, Chichester
Howard N (1990) ‘Soft’ game theory. Inf Decis Technol 16(3):215–227
Howard N (1993) The role of emotions in multiorganizational decision-making. J Oper Res Soc 44:613–623
Howard N (1994) Drama theory and its relation to game theory. Part 1: Dramatic resolution vs. rational solution & Part 2: Formal model of the resolution process. Group Decis Negot 3:187–206 & 207–235
Howard N (1998) n-person ‘soft’ games. J Oper Res Soc 49:144–150
Howard N, Murray-Jones P (2002) Transformations at a drama-theoretic ‘moment of truth’. Defence Evaluation & Research Agency, London
Howard N, Bennett PG, Bryant JW, Bradley M (1992/1993) Manifesto for a theory of drama and irrational choice. J Oper Res Soc 44:99–103 and Systems Practice 6, 429–434
Hume D (1888) In: Selby-Bigge LA (ed) A treatise on human nature. Clarendon Press, Oxford. Book 2, Part 3, Section 3, p 413
Kilgour DM, Hipel KW, Fang L (1987) The graph model for conflicts. Automatica 23:41–55
Lutz DS (1974) Review of paradoxes of rationality: theory of metagames and political behaviour by N Howard. Technometrics 15:652
Management Science Center, University of Pennsylvania (1967) A model study of the escalation and de-escalation of conflict. Report ACDA ST-94, United States Arms Control & Disarmament Agency, Washington, DC
Management Science Center, University of Pennsylvania (1968) Toward a quantitative theory of the dynamics of conflict. Report ACDA ST-127, United States Arms Control & Disarmament Agency, Washington, DC
Management Science Center, University of Pennsylvania (1969a) Conflicts and their escalation: metagame analysis. Report ACDA ST-149 part 1, United States Arms Control & Disarmament Agency, Washington, DC
Management Science Center, University of Pennsylvania (1969b) Conflicts and their escalation: the analysis of options: a computer aided method for analysing political problems. Report ACDA ST-149 part 2, United States Arms Control & Disarmament Agency, Washington, DC
Murray-Jones P, Howard N (2001) Co-ordinated positions in a drama-theoretic confrontation: mathematical foundations for a PO decision support system. Defence Evaluation & Research Agency, London
Searle JR (1969) Speech acts: an essay in the philosophy of language. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
Simonton S (2017) Classical Greek oligarchy: a political history. Princeton University Press, Princeton
The Telegraph (2008) Nigel Howard: scholar who invented ‘drama theory’, advised the military and industry, and wrote a Kung Fu film. https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/obituaries/1905492/Nigel-Howard.html
Thrall RM (1974) Review of paradoxes of rationality: theory of metagames and political behaviour by N. Howard. Oper Res 22:669–671
Vanderschraaf P, Sillari G (2014) Common knowledge. In: Zalta EN (ed) The Stanford encyclopedia of philosophy, Spring 2014 edn. https://plato.stanford.edu/archives/spr2014/entries/common-knowledge/
von Neumann J, Morgenstern O (1944) Theory of games and economic behavior. Princeton University Press, Princeton
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2021 Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this entry
Cite this entry
Bryant, J. (2021). From Game Theory to Drama Theory. In: Kilgour, D.M., Eden, C. (eds) Handbook of Group Decision and Negotiation. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-49629-6_14
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-49629-6_14
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-030-49628-9
Online ISBN: 978-3-030-49629-6
eBook Packages: Behavioral Science and PsychologyReference Module Humanities and Social SciencesReference Module Business, Economics and Social Sciences